During my recent holiday travels, I listened to an episode of the Ezra Klein show featuring Philip Tetlock, a psychologist known for his work on how people make judgments, particularly in the form of predictions about future events. I found the podcast interesting and so sought out Tetlock’s book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (written in collaboration with journalist Dan Gardner) to find out more. The book focuses on the phenomenon of “superforecasters”, a group of people Tetlock has discovered in his research […]